Aloha Gang! Well, yesterday was just simply a terrible one for me and one that I kind of feared would occur. On days where we have back to back Large cards, it really takes alot out of you mentally and physically, capping all the games to try and find those hidden winners. Sorry, but I think the three consecutive days previous has finally caught up to me. So today, eventhough I really dont like Ivy games, I am very glad that I have less games to cap out. Anyways, our combined record for this week stands at a descent: 23W-17L= +34 Units. Hey Gang, we are still sitting pretty entering into the weekend. Top Plays for the week also stands at a solid 6W-2L= +27 Units. Today, I feel this is a solid card eventhough its an IVY card, so Gang, LETS GO GET EM IVY STYLE!
6 Unit Play on:
Cornell E(LOSE-by 5pts)
-I guess like many, I had pegged Princeton as the class of the Ivy to quickly, as Penn showed me that this was definately untrue. Well for me, that one game was enough to make me jump off of this Tiger squad and on to Cornell's, in this one. Cornell likes to run it, and Princeton likes to hold it. Both styles of Off seem to have found some success for both teams this year. Still, I have to favor the running of Cornell especially at home where they are a solid 5-2 SU and averaging 72.6 ppg and 45% shooting from the field. Cornell plays with 4 returning starters and I like their experience and solidarity. Princeton is a solid 6-1 ATS this year in road lined games. But the last 3 years, they are just 0-6 ATS as a road Underdog of 3pts or less or pick. Princeton is also currently 0-3 ATS in Feb games. Cornell is currently 3-0 ATS, 11-7 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played on Friday nights. Cornell is also currently 2-0 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. This is a positive thing for Cornell as they are coming off of a 6 game road swing and the rest seems to help their play in the following games after they have at least 5 days to recharge. Here are some stats I like also in this one. Cornell has the Conf #1 Scoring Off. Princeton will try and stop this with their #1 Scoring Def in the Conf. But, I like these stats also favoring Cornell. They are #1 in Rebounding Margin. They are #1 in Steals per game with 9. And they are #2 in the Conf in draining the 3 pointers per game with 7.47. Lastly, Cornell goes into this one possessing the #1 and #2 Conf scorers, in Ka'Ron Barnes and Cody Toppert. Cornell is also sitting on top of the Conf at 5-1, and has a chance to pull away from the rest with a win over Princeton, who is right behind them at 4-1. Based on Princeton's last lost at home vs Penn, I have to say that a big edge goes to Cornell in their own house as they are similar to Penn in Stats and style of play. Princeton will face their second straight loss today to the best team in the Ivy in my opinion. Princeton does though own the series between the two, but today, I see a Big opportunity for Cornell to get some Revenge over the Tigers. I also expect the home court of Cornell to play a big part of this win, as I am expecting that the fans will be in a frenzy as Cornell will be playing at home for the first time since Jan 17. I like it when a team is finally back home and facing a great opportunity to gain supremacy in the conference at the hands of their Rival. Motivations on the Cornell side will be sky high tonight.
4 Unit Plays on:
S Miss -2(LOSE)
Brown -4(WINNER)
Rider +1(WINNER)
-Another road Fav, but is there any other way to go in this one. SMiss plays with 4 returning starters and currently are 1-0 ATS, 2-0 ATS last 3 seasons, and 5-3 ATS since 1997, as a road favorite of 3pts or less or pick. They are also currently 2-1 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record. SFL is currently 0-2 ATS, 1-3 ATS last 3 seasons, and 2-8 ATS since 1997, as a home Underdog of 3pts or less or pick. This year they are 3-7 ATS, 9-22 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 35-48 ATS since 1997, as an Underdog. They are also currently 1-3 ATS in Feb games, and 1-4 ATS the last 3 seasons in Friday night games. They are also currently 2-8 ATS when playing against teams with winning records. One stat that may play the biggest advantage to SMiss is that SFL is currently 1-3 ATS when playing with one or less days rest. The reason I say this, is because this will be SFL's 4th game in 5 days. Their last game was on 2-11 against Cincy, and it is safe to assume that one was an up and down the court type of game. Plus, after playing one of the Conf's elite with full motivation and energy, they may not have anything left physically, mentally, or emotionally to face this SMiss team. If anything, their legs has got to be tired. Beside these things, SMiss is simply the better team in FG%, 3pt FG%, and FT%. SFL does own a huge series advantage, but with all those injuries and playing with a very thinned out bench, I think the odds are against them that this trend will continue tonight. SMiss is not that bad of a team, as they have gone 2-1 SU and ATS in their last 3 road games. They also do own victories over Memphis, Marq this year, albeit at home. I think it still shows a talent level difference between the two. Dont see any HCA in this one getting in the way and SFL being 0-9 in the Conf is a huge reason for this lack of HCA this year. SMiss should steal one here easy tonight.
-Ok, not to much to go on in this one stat wise, except that Brown is currently 3-1 ATS, 13-7 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing a team with a losing record. Harvard is currently 0-2 ATS on Friday games. Seems like the future Lawyers and Politicians would rather be partying then at a basketball game on Friday nights. Harvard is also currently 0-3 ATS, 0-11 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. Both teams struggle on defense, but Brown has been making improvements especially on Off. In their last 5 games, they have been averaging 77.8 ppg and 47.7% from the field, which is their best % all year. They are also averaging 79 ppg in all Conf games this year. Harvard, does it most scoring at home averaging 71.7 ppg but, it is also at home where they have been giving up the most points as well, at 79 ppg and 45% shooting to its opponents. In Conf games this scoring average simply gets worst, as they are averaging just 63.2 ppg and shooting a LOW 35% from the field, while they allow Conf opponents to score 72.7 ppg and 44% from the field. In Harvard's last 5 games, their opponents are averaging even a higher ppg average at 84.4 ppg and 50.2% shooting from the field. Brown is better in FG%, and 3pt FG% overall, and that should be enough to cover this number.
-Rider plays with 4 returning starters and a deeper bench today in this one. As far as past or current trends or stats, there are some that are not favoring Rider today. But even so, there are some stats and trends that as well work against Marist. One of those are that Marist is currently 2-6 ATS as a Favorite. They are also currently 0-2 ATS in Feb games. Also, they are currently 3-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. In Rider's last 3 road games, they have gone 2-1 SU and ATS. Rider also is a better FG%, 3pt FG%, and FT% than Marist is. Both teams play solid defense, but Rider does hold an advantage in rankings in Scoring Off, Rebounding Margin, Blocked Shots, Assists, and Assist to TO Margin over Marist. Another huge advantage that Rider posseses is that they are ranked #2 in the Conf in draining 3 pointers per game with 7.68. Rider is also 2-0 SU and ATS vs Marist at Marist over the last 3 seasons. Rider gets the complete sweep of Marist this year.
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***Ok Gang, them is the plays for Ivy and Aloha Friday. For those who need to see a YTD record, I suggest that you start tracking it now, as I dont list one, for the last time. I am not one who follows this type of betting strictness to a T. Sometimes I do, and it is mainly on a losing streak. But most times I do not, as I like to fly by the seat of my pants most times. Of course though, the hard work as always was put in on all of my plays I put out. Maybe later I will follow this type of tracking, but for now, my way is working for me. So with that said, its up to you if you want to follow me or not. I do it this way as it is, to me, beneficial for others and myself, and if that is not good enough for some, then I suggest that you dont follow me at all. I dont tell you how much to bet or what to bet, so I expect that no one will tell me how to either. There are though some here, who I respect and will always take and seek out advice from. You know who you are. Only they can advise me on how to run my business. I am here to help others, that is it, and this is my way of doing it. Good Luck to all and Aloha Co-Captain.
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 14, 2004 at 12:07 AM.]
6 Unit Play on:
Cornell E(LOSE-by 5pts)
-I guess like many, I had pegged Princeton as the class of the Ivy to quickly, as Penn showed me that this was definately untrue. Well for me, that one game was enough to make me jump off of this Tiger squad and on to Cornell's, in this one. Cornell likes to run it, and Princeton likes to hold it. Both styles of Off seem to have found some success for both teams this year. Still, I have to favor the running of Cornell especially at home where they are a solid 5-2 SU and averaging 72.6 ppg and 45% shooting from the field. Cornell plays with 4 returning starters and I like their experience and solidarity. Princeton is a solid 6-1 ATS this year in road lined games. But the last 3 years, they are just 0-6 ATS as a road Underdog of 3pts or less or pick. Princeton is also currently 0-3 ATS in Feb games. Cornell is currently 3-0 ATS, 11-7 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played on Friday nights. Cornell is also currently 2-0 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. This is a positive thing for Cornell as they are coming off of a 6 game road swing and the rest seems to help their play in the following games after they have at least 5 days to recharge. Here are some stats I like also in this one. Cornell has the Conf #1 Scoring Off. Princeton will try and stop this with their #1 Scoring Def in the Conf. But, I like these stats also favoring Cornell. They are #1 in Rebounding Margin. They are #1 in Steals per game with 9. And they are #2 in the Conf in draining the 3 pointers per game with 7.47. Lastly, Cornell goes into this one possessing the #1 and #2 Conf scorers, in Ka'Ron Barnes and Cody Toppert. Cornell is also sitting on top of the Conf at 5-1, and has a chance to pull away from the rest with a win over Princeton, who is right behind them at 4-1. Based on Princeton's last lost at home vs Penn, I have to say that a big edge goes to Cornell in their own house as they are similar to Penn in Stats and style of play. Princeton will face their second straight loss today to the best team in the Ivy in my opinion. Princeton does though own the series between the two, but today, I see a Big opportunity for Cornell to get some Revenge over the Tigers. I also expect the home court of Cornell to play a big part of this win, as I am expecting that the fans will be in a frenzy as Cornell will be playing at home for the first time since Jan 17. I like it when a team is finally back home and facing a great opportunity to gain supremacy in the conference at the hands of their Rival. Motivations on the Cornell side will be sky high tonight.
4 Unit Plays on:
S Miss -2(LOSE)
Brown -4(WINNER)
Rider +1(WINNER)
-Another road Fav, but is there any other way to go in this one. SMiss plays with 4 returning starters and currently are 1-0 ATS, 2-0 ATS last 3 seasons, and 5-3 ATS since 1997, as a road favorite of 3pts or less or pick. They are also currently 2-1 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record. SFL is currently 0-2 ATS, 1-3 ATS last 3 seasons, and 2-8 ATS since 1997, as a home Underdog of 3pts or less or pick. This year they are 3-7 ATS, 9-22 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 35-48 ATS since 1997, as an Underdog. They are also currently 1-3 ATS in Feb games, and 1-4 ATS the last 3 seasons in Friday night games. They are also currently 2-8 ATS when playing against teams with winning records. One stat that may play the biggest advantage to SMiss is that SFL is currently 1-3 ATS when playing with one or less days rest. The reason I say this, is because this will be SFL's 4th game in 5 days. Their last game was on 2-11 against Cincy, and it is safe to assume that one was an up and down the court type of game. Plus, after playing one of the Conf's elite with full motivation and energy, they may not have anything left physically, mentally, or emotionally to face this SMiss team. If anything, their legs has got to be tired. Beside these things, SMiss is simply the better team in FG%, 3pt FG%, and FT%. SFL does own a huge series advantage, but with all those injuries and playing with a very thinned out bench, I think the odds are against them that this trend will continue tonight. SMiss is not that bad of a team, as they have gone 2-1 SU and ATS in their last 3 road games. They also do own victories over Memphis, Marq this year, albeit at home. I think it still shows a talent level difference between the two. Dont see any HCA in this one getting in the way and SFL being 0-9 in the Conf is a huge reason for this lack of HCA this year. SMiss should steal one here easy tonight.
-Ok, not to much to go on in this one stat wise, except that Brown is currently 3-1 ATS, 13-7 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing a team with a losing record. Harvard is currently 0-2 ATS on Friday games. Seems like the future Lawyers and Politicians would rather be partying then at a basketball game on Friday nights. Harvard is also currently 0-3 ATS, 0-11 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. Both teams struggle on defense, but Brown has been making improvements especially on Off. In their last 5 games, they have been averaging 77.8 ppg and 47.7% from the field, which is their best % all year. They are also averaging 79 ppg in all Conf games this year. Harvard, does it most scoring at home averaging 71.7 ppg but, it is also at home where they have been giving up the most points as well, at 79 ppg and 45% shooting to its opponents. In Conf games this scoring average simply gets worst, as they are averaging just 63.2 ppg and shooting a LOW 35% from the field, while they allow Conf opponents to score 72.7 ppg and 44% from the field. In Harvard's last 5 games, their opponents are averaging even a higher ppg average at 84.4 ppg and 50.2% shooting from the field. Brown is better in FG%, and 3pt FG% overall, and that should be enough to cover this number.
-Rider plays with 4 returning starters and a deeper bench today in this one. As far as past or current trends or stats, there are some that are not favoring Rider today. But even so, there are some stats and trends that as well work against Marist. One of those are that Marist is currently 2-6 ATS as a Favorite. They are also currently 0-2 ATS in Feb games. Also, they are currently 3-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. In Rider's last 3 road games, they have gone 2-1 SU and ATS. Rider also is a better FG%, 3pt FG%, and FT% than Marist is. Both teams play solid defense, but Rider does hold an advantage in rankings in Scoring Off, Rebounding Margin, Blocked Shots, Assists, and Assist to TO Margin over Marist. Another huge advantage that Rider posseses is that they are ranked #2 in the Conf in draining 3 pointers per game with 7.68. Rider is also 2-0 SU and ATS vs Marist at Marist over the last 3 seasons. Rider gets the complete sweep of Marist this year.
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***Ok Gang, them is the plays for Ivy and Aloha Friday. For those who need to see a YTD record, I suggest that you start tracking it now, as I dont list one, for the last time. I am not one who follows this type of betting strictness to a T. Sometimes I do, and it is mainly on a losing streak. But most times I do not, as I like to fly by the seat of my pants most times. Of course though, the hard work as always was put in on all of my plays I put out. Maybe later I will follow this type of tracking, but for now, my way is working for me. So with that said, its up to you if you want to follow me or not. I do it this way as it is, to me, beneficial for others and myself, and if that is not good enough for some, then I suggest that you dont follow me at all. I dont tell you how much to bet or what to bet, so I expect that no one will tell me how to either. There are though some here, who I respect and will always take and seek out advice from. You know who you are. Only they can advise me on how to run my business. I am here to help others, that is it, and this is my way of doing it. Good Luck to all and Aloha Co-Captain.
.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 14, 2004 at 12:07 AM.]
